Two good rain chances next 10 days

October 6th, 2008

The Mid-South will have two good rain chances over the next 10 days. The big question will be whether the 2nd of the two rains is a drought-denter or a drought-buster. Read the rest of this entry »

Split-flow pattern to return

October 4th, 2008

After the first real fall-like air mass of the season, a split-flow pattern will return to the Mid-South and temperatures will once again warm above normal. Rain chance look slim until the weekend of 10/12, when the first big winter storm of the season may wallop the northern Rockies and northern Plains. Read the rest of this entry »

AMS Mentorship program

October 1st, 2008

The AMS Board for Private Sector Meteorologists (BPSM) has reached across private industry to connect a cross-section of professionals working in private sector positions related to meteorology willing to volunteer their time to work with students interested in learning more about the private sector. Read the rest of this entry »

Kyle heads to Nova Scotia - KY rain chances fizzle

September 26th, 2008

Model trends show that Tropical Storm Kyle appears to be headed for Nova Scotia rather than New England, which will set a chain of events in motion that will diminish the chance for rain in the Mid-South next week. However, chilly air is still expected to arrive in time for Fall Break next week. Read the rest of this entry »

October should start chilly

September 23rd, 2008

Aside from the gusty winds from the remnants of Hurricane Ike a week ago, September has been a dull month weather-wise for the Mid-South with a split flow pattern that has kept Kentucky comfortably warm and dry. The good news is, a series of events in the southwestern Atlantic is shaping up to create a dramatic change in the synoptic pattern. Read the rest of this entry »

Finally, some interesting weather

September 10th, 2008

Since my last post in eary August, the weather over the Mid-South has been typical of August — Boring!! However, the models are showing signs of an active pattern for much of the eastern United States over the next couple of weeks. Fall is here! Read the rest of this entry »

Late-week cool snap to follow heat

August 3rd, 2008

The last post mentioned that the heat wave this week would be short-lived due to a negative NAO that would develop mid-week. This negative NAO will now combine with a negative EPO and positive PNA to bring an “Autumn preview” to the Great Lakes and a welcome cool snap to the Mid-South, along with a good chance of some precipitation. Read the rest of this entry »

Dolly remnants and 100F heat

July 29th, 2008

A nasty 594 ridge is poised to bring the Mid-South close to the 100F mark this weekend. Will tropical thunderstorms from the remnants of Dolly keep us from triple digits? Read the rest of this entry »

Summer 2008 half-time report

July 18th, 2008

Now that summer 2008 is officially half-over, I thought it would be interesting to see how my forecast from May is turning out. Aside from a very hot first two weeks of June, everything seems to be on track. Read the rest of this entry »

Cool pattern to end - but will it rain?

June 24th, 2008

My last post two weeks ago ended with the following…

If this all happens as currently forecast, the 2nd half of June could end up cooler than normal due to a NW flow, but we may not see very much in the way of precipitation.

This turned out to be a good forecast, so much so that I haven’t even had to run the A.C. for the past week. Unfortunately, the lack of recent rainfall has me somewhat concerned since there doesn’t appear to be much relief in the long range forecast. Read the rest of this entry »